6/04/2010

Jobless Claims and Hotjobs Jobs Listing

Here is a comparison between Jobless Claims and Hotjobs Jobs Listing data.


6/03/2010

S&P 500 Historical and Simulated Results

S&P500 monthly data from Jan 1950 to Jun 2010 (SPX from finance.yahoo.com).  The first graph shows the 20 years annualized performance (before v.s. after)



The second graph shows the simulated result (mean=5.7347%, sigma=14.601%).



From the two graphs, we can see the simulated random walk result is more scattered with a lower R value.

5/29/2010

Steven Eisman's New Big Short?

Bloomberg BW just posted an article about the hedge fund manager who used to bet against subprime market said he has found a new target to short.

Eisman gave a rough analysis on the impact to the earnings of the for-profit educations if the new regulations come out against them in the near future.  That might be effective after July 2011.